Although the effect on the stock market is not absolute in that many market declines fall outside of Shemitah years, it certainly appears that the Shemitah has had a negative affect on the market by causing some of its largest declines. It turns out that its lacking entire categories pertinent to stock market action: Weve reminded dejected readers throughout 2022 that this year was statistically cursed from the onset. William Delbert Gann was a trader and analyst famous for making use of time cycles into his analysis. The worlds incessant drive for nonstop growth, greater revenues and profits, and more and more material things does not allow a year of rest for the land or a remission of debts or a release of slaves. When you approach the end, you will see how things correspond to the world today. 1916-1917 Year of Shemitah - Stock market drops 40%. The year of Shmita or Shemitah (meaning: letting go) also called the sabbatical year occurs every seventh September. Perhaps 2022, the next Shmita year, will have some upheavals. Depending on the trend in the stock market I do think this year could be a remarkable year in the history of our economy. So, at the climax of the 2001 Shmita came two falls; a colossal collapse in Wall Street Shmita is the wiping away of that which has been built up. They all last for 30 minutes, which today is considered quite long, but give it a go and watch the first episode. It's a short list of events that have corresponded with the shemita since 1900: 1901-1902 - 46% of the US stock market value wiped out. We are coming into a new Shemitah year. If we continue the upwards trend entering 2021, approaching September we should pay attention. The new tower raised up from Ground Zero has If the rise of a As Israel implodes, does nobody in Netanyahus Likud have the guts to defy him? The price increase is higher than the salary increase, but we can always go to strike and demand a raise. 1916 1917: Stock market drop 40% and many European countries are suffering an economic collapse. Here is a chart comparing all of the years: It is hard to understand what to do with this data. I think it's just a normal cycle. The differences between Reppond Investments Inc.s results and those of the indices may be different due to differences in diversification and by the properties of the actual securities held by Reppond Investments, Inc. Sukkot, Shmita and a stock market crash? The coming world leader, Antichrist rules from the revived Roman Empire of Europe and the Middle East in the last days (Dan 2:41,42, 7:24,25). Time Cycles Say Therell Be Better Times Than 2022, A Religious Calendar Calls For A 2022 (Market) Sabbatical, Soft Landing Or Recession? Welcome to our community. 1916-1917 Shmita Year - 40% U.S. Stock market value wiped out. So what are we to conclude? To do so, you just have to make better decisions than most others. In January we put it bluntly: Longer-term time cycles dont line up for a prosperous 2022. Not only is it a mid-term election year, but also a Shmita Year. Now lets have a look at the more recent stock market crashes we have seen. Through these two effects, Israel would be distinct from the nations, and God would ensure that there would be no poor and no person would forever remain downtrodden. In the Law of Moses, there was one other instance where a set of seven time periods had an important affect upon Israel and their economy. Our Major Trend Index has four factor categories, and three of them (Valuation, Cyclical, Technical) remain negative. The beginning of American to rise to world power. Markets therefore adjust swiftly and efficiently, remarkable renaissance of thinking and doing, Israel Unfiltered: The future of meeting up in person, The Next Web, ChatGPT, and The Creator Economy, Netanyahu to make statement to nation as bipartisan MKs call for judicial compromise, As protests sweep nation, police use aggressive means to clear Tel Aviv rally, Gantz to PM: Talk now before we face civil war; Herzog: Country could fall to abyss, Israel should wipe out Palestinian town of Huwara, says senior minister Smotrich. Not planting nor harvesting any crops so the soil can recover from 6 years of growing and harvesting. Despite expectations that the 2023 general elections will further dampen confidence in the Nigerian stock market, the market opened the week positive yesterday, extending gains from last week as the benchmark index closed by 0.69% to settle at 55,328.42 points.. Greed and the desire for money caused many in Israel to ignore the Shemitah and the Jubilee. The Shemitah is thus a radical concept that has no parallel among the nations and economic systems of the world. ET. 1966, was dedicated in the Shmita of 1973 and destroyed in the Shmita of 2001. United States enters WWI. Wheat that grew on its own would be free for all to eat. If this force really exists, it might actually impact the valuation of stock markets, investments, and currencies on a recurring basis. If Israel followed God, this two-year super-Shemitah would pose no problems for their food supply or for their economy. Note: Unlike Cahn and others who have considered the Shemitah Effect to mainly occur near the end of the Shemitah year or within 1 month of its end (i.e., the Elul-Tishri 2-month time period), this analysis considers the entire Shemitah year to be a time of potential economic downturn. Adrian Zenz performed a more rigorous statistical analysis of the Shemitah Effect in a paper published in August, 2015 (see http://bit.ly/1LNdeKE). Therefore, Moses told the nation of Israel that six days out of every week they should labor and work, but on the seventh day they should rest from all their labors and do no work: For six days work may be done, but on the seventh day there is a sabbath of complete rest, a holy convocation. This is what the Lord said through Moses in Deuteronomy: At the end of every seven years you shall grant a remission of debts. Your email address will not be published. he does point out one remarkable fact: the final day of both of the last two shmita years saw two of the three largest falls in history (measured in points not in per cent) of the US stock market. (Its a translation with an introduction of part of Rav Kooks great book on Shmita, Shabbat Haaretz, since you are kind enough to ask.). The S&P 500 has posted a mild recovery since its bear market lows in mid-2022, when it fell more than 25% from its high. Global recession. Norway's foremost claims manager | Norges fremste klagebehandler. On the seventh year there was to be no sowing, or harvesting any crops whatsoever to let the land rest for one year (Leviticus 25:1-5). There can be no assurance that any specific investment or investment strategy (including the investment strategies devised or undertaken by Reppond Investments, Inc.) will be profitable for a clients or prospective clients portfolio. As the Lord promised in Leviticus 25:20-22 (quoted previously), the sixth year before a Jubilee would provide enough food to supply the people for a full 3 years; therefore God anticipated the need for an increased food supply during the longer Shemitah/Jubilee cycle. 1979-1980 Shmita Year - U.S. and global recession. Economies are periodic they go through upswings of growth, investment and expansion, followed by episodes of contraction and depression. After falling about 50% in 2022, Nvidia 's (NASDAQ: NVDA) share prices . This is an interesting question and one in which Jonathan Cahn proposed to answer in his books. In his spare time he is a writer,translator, urban tour guide and teaches Jewish texts and sources. 1972-1973 Shmita Year - 48% U.S. Stock market value wiped out. Though they tried to run from it, the Shemitah Effect eventually caught up to them and caused 70 years of banishment from their land! United States enters WWI. Your email address will not be published. We share researched quantitative methods that actually work in the stock market. In this way we gain Through these two characteristics, the Lord provided a life of rest and highly reduced stress, while encouraging his people to live without having the burden of debt hanging over their heads. By AARON KATSMAN Published:. From these historical lessons, it can be said that the Shemitah can either be a blessing or a curse, depending on whether the nation followed God and these laws. It just so happens that the latest Shemitah year occurred during the years 2014-2015, and it ended on September 13, 2015. Ben Reppond(406) 871-3321ben@reppondinvestments.comLearn how we manage money: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=m4IdPxtjBYo\u0026t=3220sInstagram: @benreppondBloomberg https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3hA3IkauON4CNBC Joe Kernanhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BlmLyfx5tcECNBC Scott Wapnerhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Nb1cGFjXXtYJonathan CahnThe Mystery of the Shemitahhttps://www.amazon.com/Mystery-Shemitah-Updated-000-Year-Old-Future/dp/1629994707Produced By http://www.thepyrostudios.comDISCLOSURESThis presentation is for informational purposes only and is not an offer of or solicitation of advisory services. For instance, there were severe declines in the market in 1907 and 1929 (as a percent decline), but both of these occurred in the middle of a Shemitah cycle and not during the Shemitah year itself or during its wake. The word Shemitah is pronounced shem tah, which literally means remission or to release or to let go. Please note that the posts on The Blogs are contributed by third parties. Therefore, the principle of the Shemitah remained in effect even if Israel tried to eliminate it from their lives and culture. Stock market indices are unmanaged, broadly based indices, which differ in numerous respects from the specific portfolio composition. God commands rest for both the farmer and the land"But the seventh year thou shall let it rest 1993-1994 Shmita Year - Bond market crash. 2007-2008 Shmita Year - 50% U.S. Stock market value wiped out. The World Trade Centre was conceived in the Shmita of 1945, begun in the Shmita of In addition, Zenz also considered a more restricted analysis by using only the 2-month Elul-Tishri Shemitah ending months and the Shemitah wake period in his calculations, just like Cahn focused on in his book. A decade ago, Mike Maloney made an effort to explain it all through a series called Hidden Secrets of Money. Is it possible that the Bible provides the reason for this phenomenon as well as details on its origin and properties? Fine grows lettuce and kale using hydroponics on raised platforms to fulfill the biblical commandment to let his farmlands rest every seventh year. Seven Shemitahs is simply equal to 77 years or a total of 49 years. Note: Unlike the seeds that are used for crops today, which have been engineered to grow once and the plant that sprouts produces no viable seeds so that farmers have to repeatedly buy more seed every planting season, the seeds that the Israelis used resulted in completely viable plants which produced vital seeds. The economy of the world thus feeds on greed, power, and debt, and many people, companies, and countries couldnt function at their current standard of living without these vices. Think about this. In a personal communication with Adrian Zenz, he told me, from the empirical economic evidence it is impossible to demonstrate or prove a Shemitah effect, as shown also by the low explanatory power scores in my statistical testing, based on different Shemitah time periods. Notice the Shmita was nearly the low. OK, the electricity bill is a pain in the ass, so a few posts on social media about that, many join a Facebook-group demanding a maximum price for petrol or some other commodity. It would also prevent lower income families from sliding down further into poverty, because the seventh year would provide free food and an elimination of any debt they may have incurred. If the reset is not expected, (and it usually isnt), experience shows that it comes upon us anyway, as a nasty surprise. A press release with fourth quarter and fiscal year 2022 financial results will be issued after the market closes that same day. To detect a Shemitah Effect and see if it is broader than just its relationship to Israel, we need to first map out the times that correspond to the Shemitah years within the Jewish and Gregorian calendars. Investments in securities will not always be profitable. In Leviticus, Moses said that the Year of Jubilee should be observed after every seven sets of seven-year Shemitah cycles. As can be seen, fully 10 out of the 20 largest percent drops in the Dow directly correspond to a Shemitah period. Understanding that I am trying to correlate a Christian calendar with the Jewish Calendar, here are the past Shmita years where data (from Robert Shiller) are available: As one can see, some of the great crashes in American history occurred during these Shmita years, but are these significant? The next Shmita year - 48 % U.S. Stock market value wiped out well as details on its origin properties. Parallel among the nations and economic systems of the Shemitah is pronounced shem tah, literally! 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